Cnotes 2016 Canadian Football League Picks-Trends-News !

[CNOTES]

2016 CFL season betting primer and odds

Mike Reilly and the Edmonton Eskimos are the +400 favorites to defend their Grey Cup Championship.

We are still about six weeks until players report to NFL training camp, but if the football betting itch is getting to you, fear not.

All you have to do is look north.

That's right, the Canadian Football League kicks off this week and if you can't wait to sink your teeth into football betting then we have you covered. It doesn't matter that the field up there is a little wider, the balls are a little bigger and there are only three downs, we break down all you need to know to wager on the upcoming season in our CFL betting primer.

First let's check out how all nine teams did at the betting window last season, a year which was capped off by a Edmonton Eskimos Grey Cup victory.

CFL's teams against the spread (2015)

1. Ottawa RedBlacks 12-6 ATS
2. Hamilton Tiger-Cats 11-7 ATS
2. Edmonton Eskimos 11-7 ATS
4. Toronto Argonauts 9-9 ATS
5. B.C. Lions 8-9-1 ATS
6. Montreal Alouettes 8-10 ATS
6. Calgary Stampeders 8-10 ATS
6. Winnipeg Blue Bombers 8-10 ATS
9. Saskatchewan Roughriders 5-12-1 ATS

CFL's best Over bets (2015)

1. Saskatchewan Roughriders 12-6
2. B.C. Lions 10-8
3. Ottawa RedBlacks 10-8

CFL's best Under bets (2015)

1. Calgary Stampeders 12-5-1
2. Hamilton Tiger-Cats 12-6
3. Montreal Alouettes 12-6

Best betting trends from 2015

* Dogs 44-35-1 ATS (55.7 percent)
* Home dogs 13-9 ATS (59.1 percent)
* Unders 47-38 (55.3 percent)

Next let's take a look at some big CFL futures odds, including Grey Cup futures, Season Win totals and Most Outstanding Player, where Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is the favorite. (All odds courtesy Sports Interaction).

Grey Cup Futures

Edmonton Eskimos +400
Calgary Stampeders +450
Hamilton Tiger-Cats +500
Toronto Argonauts +600
Ottawa RedBlacks +700
Saskatchewan Roughriders +800
B.C. Lions +900
Winnipeg Blue Bombers +1,000
Montreal Alouettes +1,200

Season Win Totals (Remember it's an 18-game regular season in the CFL)

Edmonton Eskimos O/U 11.5
Calgary Stampeders O/U 11.5
Hamilton Tiger-Cats O/U 10.5
Toronto Argonauts O/U 10.5
Ottawa RedBlacks O/U 9.5
B.C. Lions O/U 8.5
Saskatchewan Roughriders O/U 7.5
Montreal Alouettes O/U 7.5
Winnipeg Blue Bombers O/U 6.5

And finally, lets take a look forward to some Week 1 trends, dating back 11 CFL seasons for the first four matchups of the three-down season (Check out the Week 1 matchups here):

Ti-Cats’ troubles

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats can’t seem to get off on the right foot and enter the 2016 campaign on a 11-year Week 1 losing skid. To make matters worse, Hamilton is 2-9 ATS in those contests. The Ti-Cats are 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS on the road in Week 1, which is where they open 2016 – at Toronto, for the Argos first game since moving outdoors to BMO field as 4.5-point underdogs Thursday. Hamilton has been outscored by an average of 33.5-18.4 over the past 11-years season debuts.

No Championship hangovers up north

The Grey Cup champs are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 Week 1 appearances (unlike the NFL, not every team plays in Week 1) and have managed to cover in eight of those 10 contests as well. Edmonton is a 6-point home favorite in a Grey Cup rematch against Ottawa this coming Saturday. However, the Eskimos will be without their head coach Chris Jones in 2016, who jumped ship to Saskatchewan to become the head coach, general manager and defensive coordinator.

Argos Christening new ship

As mentioned above, the Argonauts are moving to BMO Field, but their old home field was not much of a problem during Week 1. Going back to 2005, with a 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS mark in that span.

Additionally, the Argos are also a profitable 2-9 Over/Under in Week 1 games the last 11 seasons. Toronto has scored an average of 23.6 points in those games while giving up 23.7 points against. Thursday's total is set at 53.

Put a Stamp on it

If you're looking for the another reliable CFL Week 1 trend, look no furter than the Calgary Stampeders and the Under. Calgary has stayed below the betting total in eight of those 10 opening week matchups. Saturday’s total against the B.C. Lions is set at 48 points.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 1


Thursday, June 23

Hamilton @ Toronto

Game 121-122
June 23, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
112.616
Toronto
110.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
54
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+5); Under


Friday, June 24

Montreal @ Winnipeg

Game 123-124
June 24, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
105.255
Winnipeg
109.679
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 4 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-2); Over


Saturday, June 25

Ottawa @ Edmonton

Game 125-126
June 25, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
117.582
Edmonton
126.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 9
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 6
53
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-6); Over

Calgary @ BC Lions

Game 127-128
June 25, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
122.868
BC Lions
108.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 14
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 3 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-3 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Thursday, June 23

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HAMILTON (11 - 9) at TORONTO (9 - 10) - 6/23/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, June 24

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MONTREAL (6 - 12) at WINNIPEG (5 - 13) - 6/24/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 2-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, June 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (14 - 6) at EDMONTON (16 - 4) - 6/25/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
EDMONTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (15 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 12) - 6/25/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

CFL Week 1 knowledge
Not a lot to go on early in the CFL season, but we'll do what we can..........

Hamilton @ Toronto-- TiCats won eight of last ten games with Toronto; they were 4-0 vs Argonauts LY, nipping Argos 25-22 (-2) at home in playoffs, kicking FG on last play of game. Under is 10-3 in Hamilton's last 13 season openers, 23-9 in Toronto's last 32. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games, 6-2 in TiCats' last eight visits here.

Montreal @ Winnipeg-- Blue Bombers won five of last six games with Montreal, winning 24-16/25-23 in last two played here. Winnipeg covered 11 of last 16 series games. Under is 29-13 in Montreal's last 42 games, 16-6 in their last 22 road games. Under is 11-4-1 in Bombers' last 16 games, 6-1-1 in their last eight at home.

Ottawa @ Edmonton-- Eskimos beat Ottawa 26-20 in Grey Cup LY, scoring winning TD with 3:22 left; RedBlacks had gotten there in their second year of existence. Edmonton is 5-0 vs Ottawa, with three wins by 11+ points- four of the five games stayed under the total. Teams met in Weeks 2-3 LY, then never met again until the Grey Cup. Ottawa lost its two visits here 27-11/46-17.

Calgary @ BC Lions-- Calgary won last three games vs British Columbia, winning all three games vs Lions LY by 12-21-26 points. Stampeders won 33-16/28-7 in their last two visits here- they are 20-8-1 vs spread in last 29 series games, 11-3 in last 14 played here. Calgary covered seven of last ten season openers; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games overall.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL

Week 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, June 23

7:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Hamilton

Friday, June 24

8:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Montreal is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games at home

Saturday, June 25

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa

10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Calgary is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Calgary
British Columbia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Calgary

 

[CNOTES]

CFL

Thursday, June 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday's CFL betting preview and odds: Tiger-Cats at Argonauts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto is pinning its hopes on the return of a healthy Ricky Ray, who missed 15 games last year with shoulder issues.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Toronto Argonauts (-4.5, 52.5)

The Toronto Argonauts host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to kick off the 2016 CFL season Thursday. Hamilton won all three regular-season meetings with Toronto last year, outscoring the Argonauts 111-57 and scoring at least 34 points in each game.

Toronto is pinning its hopes on the return of a healthy Ricky Ray, who missed 15 games last year with shoulder issues, as the Argonauts let promising quarterback Trevor Harris walk away in free agency after he led the league with 33 touchdown passes in 2015. The Tiger-Cats won eight of their first 11 games before star quarterback Zach Collaros tore his ACL on Sept. 19, and they eventually fell short of their third straight Grey Cup appearance following a 35-28 defeat to the Ottawa Redblacks in the East Division final. Hamilton starts the season without Collaros as he continues rehabbing his right knee, and there is no set date for his return. The Tiger-Cats dropped 11 consecutive season openers and hope to record a Week 1 victory for the first time since beating the BC Lions 38-36 in 2004.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPNews, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Agros opened as 4-point favorites at home for their first regular season game at BMO Field. The line moved slightly futher in their direction up to -4.5. The total opened at 53 and came down slightly to 52.5. View complete line history here.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (2015: 11-9): Free agent acquisition Chad Owens, who spent six seasons with the Argonauts, is set to make his regular-season debut for his new team after catching five passes for 98 yards and a touchdown in a 42-25 preseason victory over Ottawa on June 17. Former Oregon Ducks quarterback Jeremiah Masoli, who passed for a career-high 349 yards in the playoff loss to the Redblacks, beat out Jeff Mathews for the starting job after a strong showing in training camp. "Jeremiah will be our starter," Hamilton coach Kent Austin told reporters. "He has a calmness about him that I think influences his teammates."

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (2015: 10-9): Wide receiver Tori Gurley looks to build on a sensational rookie year after catching 58 passes for 791 yards and matched a league high with 10 touchdowns in 2015. Toronto added former Hamilton stalwarts Bryan Hall and Justin Hickman during the offseason to solidify the defensive line following Tristan Okpalaugo's departure to the NFL, while kicker Lirim Hajrullahu takes over from Swayze Waters, who joined the Carolina Panthers. "I like our team," Toronto coach Scott Milanovich told reporters. "Health is always an issue but going into the season I'm pleased where we are at."

TRENDS:

* Tiger-Cats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
* Argonauts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Under is 17-4 in Tiger-Cats last 21 games in June.
* Tiger-Cats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The Argos are picking up 58 percent of the wagers and Over holds a slight edge in totals plays at 52 percent.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 1
June 20, 2016


The start of another season of football ‘north of the border’ gets underway with Week 1 action in the CFL on June 23.


The Edmonton Eskimos come in as defending Grey Cup Champions and their futures odds to repeat are the best on the board at 5Dimes at +375.


Calgary is a +550 second-favorite to win its second CFL title in three seasons and Hamilton has the best odds on the board out of the East Division at +625.

Straight-up and Against the Spread records from 2015

Thursday, June 23

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (12-6 SU, 12-6 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (10-8 SU, 11-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -3 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

This is a rematch of last year’s East Division opening round of the playoffs in which the Tiger-Cats came away with a tight 25-22 victory as two-point home favorites. Their march to a Grey Cup title was short-lived with a 35-28 loss to Ottawa as six-point road underdogs in the division finals. The big question mark heading into this game is Hamilton’s quarterback situation with Zach Collaros still recovering from offseason knee surgery. Jeremiah Masoli was the team’s starter in last season’s playoffs.

Toronto will look to get off to a fast start in the brand new confines of BMO Field. The Argonauts will also look to snap last season’s straight-up four game losing streak to Hamilton including an early September 35-27 loss on their home field as a four-point underdog. Toronto has its issues at quarterback as well with Ricky Ray still on the mend from a shoulder injury. Trevor Harris is expected to get the start in his place.

Betting Trends

Hamilton has covered ATS in its last five road games against Toronto and the total has gone OVER in six of the Tiger-Cats last eight games on the road against the Argonauts.

Friday, June 24

Montreal Alouettes (6-12 SU, 8-10 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-13 SU, 8-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -2 ½
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

Optimism for a quick turnaround from last season’s six-win performance may be high in Montreal, but the Alouettes are going to need some better stability at the quarterback position. Kevin Glenn comes in as the incumbent starter, but adding Vernon Adams through a trade with British Columbia could be a sign that this team is headed in a different direction.

The Blue Bombers are another team trying to avoid finishing in the basement of their division, but they have failed to qualify for the postseason in the last four seasons. The addition of wide receiver Ryan Smith from Saskatchewan was a step in the right direction and they also added wide receiver Brian Jones in the draft as well as running back Andrew Harris from BC.

Betting Trends

Montreal won both meetings last season SU, but it is just 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two teams. The total has gone OVER in three of the last five games.

Saturday, June 25

Ottawa RedBlacks (10-8 SU, 9-9 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (14-4 SU, 11-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total: 53

Game Overview

Ottawa will look to avenge its heart-breaking 26-20 loss to the Eskimos is last season’s Grey Cup title game as seven-point underdogs in what was an incredible run as a second-year expansion team. Now that the bar has been raised so high in just their third season as the RedBlacks, it will be hard to sneak up on anyone let alone the 2016 league champs.

The Eskimos will begin the defense of last season’s title with Jason Mass at the helm as head coach. The former CFL quarterback comes over from Ottawa where he was the offensive coordinator. With Mike Reilly as his starting quarterback and a healthy Chris Getzlaf back in the lineup at wide receiver, this offense should be able to pick up where it left off as one of the top scoring units in the league.

Betting Trends

Ottawa is still looking for its first SU win against Edmonton in five games as the expansion RedBlacks. They are 2-3 ATS in those five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those games.

Calgary Stampeders (14-4 SU, 8-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-11 SU, 8-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -3
Total: 48

Game Overview

Calgary opens the season as a road favorite and it will have a new face in the ground game with Jerome Messam taking over the reins from Jon Cornish, who retired following an injury-plagued 2015 season. The Stampeders also added a key piece to the puzzle on defense with the addition of linebacker Taylor Reed from Hamilton. Team GM John Hufnagel has handed the head coaching duties over to Dave Dickinson after serving as the team’s offensive coordinator.

The Lions also have a new head coach at the helm after team GM Wally Buono decided to add those duties to his plate. As GM he was able to resign wide receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux as a vital part of BC’s passing game and he also added wide receiver Nick Moore as a free agent from Winnipeg. The Lions will be tested right out of the gate after losing to Calgary SU three times last season (1-2 ATS).

Betting Trends

Calgary has been a great bet on the road against the Lions with an 11-3 record ATS in the last 14 meetings in BC. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five games between these two West Division rivals.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, JUNE 23

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


HAM at TOR 07:30 PM


HAM +4.5


U 52.5

 

[CNOTES]

Dunkel Pick


Friday, June 24


Montreal @ Winnipeg


Game 123-124
June 24, 2016 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
105.255
Winnipeg
109.679
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 4 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-2); Over


---------------


CFL
Long Sheet


Week 1


Friday, June 24


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTREAL (6 - 12) at WINNIPEG (5 - 13) - 6/24/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 2-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




-------------------


CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 1


CFL Week 1 knowledge


Montreal @ Winnipeg-- Blue Bombers won five of last six games with Montreal, winning 24-16/25-23 in last two played here. Winnipeg covered 11 of last 16 series games. Under is 29-13 in Montreal's last 42 games, 16-6 in their last 22 road games. Under is 11-4-1 in Bombers' last 16 games, 6-1-1 in their last eight at home.


--------------------------




CFL


Week 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report


Friday, June 24


8:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Montreal is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games at home


---------------------


CFL


Friday, June 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday's CFL betting preview and odds: Alouettes at Blue Bombers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Blue Bombers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in Week 1.


Montreal Alouettes at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-2, 49)


The Montreal Alouettes look to bounce back from a turbulent 2015 campaign when they hit the road to face the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the season opener for both teams Friday. Montreal fired coach Tom Higgins after a 3-5 start but the move failed to have the desired effect as the Alouettes dropped seven of their next 10 games to miss the playoffs for the first time in 20 years.


Montreal hopes the return of big-play wide receiver Duron Carter, who spent a year on the Indianapolis Colts' practice squad, and the addition of speedy slotback Kenny Stafford can energize a sluggish offence which finished last in passing yards at 225 per game. Winnipeg lost six of its final seven games to miss the playoffs for the fourth consecutive season. The Blue Bombers' top brass made it a priority to strengthen the team in the offseason and Winnipeg will boast 11 new starters opening night including hometown hero Andrew Harris, who rushed for 1,039 yards and eight touchdowns with the BC Lions in 2015. "I really want to be a part of changing things around here and I want to be part of a championship team," Harris told reporters. "I want to do something big for this city and be a part of something that is huge."


TV: 8:30 p.m ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2


LINE HISTORY: The home side Blue Bombers opened as 3-point chalk, but have been bet don to -2. Meanwhile, the total opened at 49.5 and that has been bet down to 49. Check out the complete line history here.


ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (2015: 6-12): Veteran quarterback Kevin Glenn assumes the starting role after coming over from the Saskatchewan Roughriders just before the trade deadline last season while Rakeem Cato, who threw for 2,167 yards and nine touchdowns in 12 appearances for Montreal in 2015, will be the backup. "It's always better when you come in at the beginning than getting traded with three games left in the season," Glenn told reporters. "You go through training camp to get to know the receivers and how they run their routes." Tyrell Sutton won last season's rushing title with 1,059 yards while Stefan Logan set franchise records by racking up 1,168 yards in kickoff returns and 1,073 yards on punt returns.


ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2015: 5-13): Free agent acquisitions Weston Dressler and Ryan Smith, who combined to catch 129 passes for 1,932 yards and 13 touchdowns with the Saskatchewan Roughriders in 2015, were signed to bolster a receiving corps that struggled to make big plays last season. Quarterback Drew Willy threw for 1,434 yards and eight touchdowns in the first seven games before suffering a season-ending knee injury against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in August, but has recovered fully and will be the starter in the opener. Justin Medlock, who is the most accurate field goal kicker in CFL history at 87.5 percent, was signed in the offseason to fix the team's kicking woes after former kicker Lirim Hajrullahu missed 10 field goals in 2015.


TRENDS:


* Alouettes went 1-6 ATS in their last seven games at the end of last season.
* Blue Bombers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in Week 1.
* Under is 18-3 in Alouettes last 21 games in June.
* Under went 6-1-1 in Blue Bombers last eight home games at the end of last season.


CONSENSUS: The public is taking the home team and the points in this matchup, with 57 percent of wagers on the Blue Bombers. As for the total, bettors are liking the under, with 55 percent of wagers on it.

 

[CNOTES]

6/23 - Yesterday's Results: 1 - 1


Overall: WLT PCT UNITS RANK


ATS Picks 1-0-0 100.00% +500


O/U Picks 0-1-0 0.00% -550

 

[CNOTES]

This Evenings CFL Best Bets:


FRIDAY, JUNE 24


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MTL at WPG 08:30 PM


WPG -2.0


U 49.0

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel


Week 1


Saturday, June 25


Ottawa @ Edmonton


Game 125-126
June 25, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
117.582
Edmonton
126.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 9
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 6
53
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-6); Over


Calgary @ BC Lions


Game 127-128
June 25, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
122.868
BC Lions
108.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 14
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 3 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-3 1/2); Under


----------------


CFL
Long Sheet


Week 1


Saturday, June 25


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OTTAWA (14 - 6) at EDMONTON (16 - 4) - 6/25/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
EDMONTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CALGARY (15 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 12) - 6/25/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------


CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 1


Ottawa @ Edmonton-- Eskimos beat Ottawa 26-20 in Grey Cup LY, scoring winning TD with 3:22 left; RedBlacks had gotten there in their second year of existence. Edmonton is 5-0 vs Ottawa, with three wins by 11+ points- four of the five games stayed under the total. Teams met in Weeks 2-3 LY, then never met again until the Grey Cup. Ottawa lost its two visits here 27-11/46-17.


Calgary @ BC Lions-- Calgary won last three games vs British Columbia, winning all three games vs Lions LY by 12-21-26 points. Stampeders won 33-16/28-7 in their last two visits here- they are 20-8-1 vs spread in last 29 series games, 11-3 in last 14 played here. Calgary covered seven of last ten season openers; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games overall.


----------------


CFL


Week 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, June 25


7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa


10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Calgary is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Calgary
British Columbia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Calgary


-----------------

 

[CNOTES]

6/24 - Yesterday's Results: 1 - 1


Overall : WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 1-1-0 50.00% -50


O/U Picks 1-1-0 50.00% -50




SATURDAY, JUNE 25


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


OTT at EDM 07:00 PM


EDM -6.0


O 54.5




CGY at BC 10:00 PM

CGY -3.0


U 48.0

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
June 27, 2016




A new season of CFL football got off to an exciting start on the field and anyone betting underdogs got off to a profitable start against the books with a perfect 4-0 record both straight-up and against the spread.


Hamilton kicked things off last Thursday with a 42-20 pounding of Toronto as a 3 ½-point road underdog. Montreal kept things going on Friday with a tight 22-14 victory on the road against Winnipeg as 2 ½-point dogs.


Saturday’s double-header started with Ottawa stunning Edmonton 45-37 in overtime as 6 ½-point underdogs on the road and British Columbia prevailed against Calgary in a 20-18 win as a three-point underdog at home.


Thursday, June 30


Ottawa RedBlacks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 54


Game Overview


Ottawa successfully avenged last season’s loss to Edmonton in the Grey Cup title game with Saturday’s win, but it came at a price with quarterback Henry Burris leaving that game in the third quarter with a hand injury. He is currently listed as questionable for Thursday night and head coach Rick Campbell has already gone on record stating that he expects Trevor Harris to get the start.


Montreal has to be happy with its fast start after posting just one straight-up win in the last seven games of the 2015 regular season. Quarterback Kevin Glenn was impressive in his debut for the Alouettes with 332 yards passing and one touchdown throw while completing 30-of-42 passes. Duron Carter was his favorite target with eight catches for 96 yards.


Betting Trends


These two have met six times over the past two seasons and the RedBlacks are now a perfect 3-0 both SU in the last three meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last four games. The total has gone OVER in the last two contests.


Toronto Argonauts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2 ½
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview


The Argonauts will try and win their first game of the year on the road after coming-up short at the brand new BMO Field on opening day. Ricky Ray got the start at quarterback for Toronto in Week 1 and while he ended the game with 282 yards passing and a pair of touchdown throws to Vidal Hazelton, he was pressured all game long and sacked five times. He also fumbled the ball once to go along with an interception.


This will be Saskatchewan’s season opener after last week’s bye. It will quickly try and erase the memory of last season’s three-win disaster with quarterback Darian Durant back at the helm after missing the majority of 2015 due to injury. The Roughriders were also a good team to go against last season with just five victories ATS in 18 games.


Betting Trends


Toronto has gone 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 road games against the Roughriders and the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings between the two. The Argonauts won both meetings in 2015 SU.


Friday, July 1


British Columbia Lions (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Total: 51


Game Overview


The Lions have to be happy with their fast start after getting hammered by Calgary 35-9 as nine-point road underdogs in last season’s CFL playoffs. Chris Rainy was the hero this time around with two touchdowns including the go-ahead score on a 73-yard punt return for a touchdown. Jonathan Jennings got the start at quarterback and threw for 248 yards while completing 24-of-42 attempts.


Hamilton looked pretty sharp in its season opener behind Jeremiah Masoli passing the ball and Andrew Fantuz catching it. These two hooked-up seven times for 99 yards and a score. Masoli ended the game with 318 yards passing and three touchdown throws while completing 27 of his 37 passing attempts. CJ Gable added 48 yards on the ground on 11 carries.


Betting Trends


The home team in this inter-division matchup has won the last six meetings SU and the total has gone OVER in five of those six games. They have split the season series 3-3 ATS over the past three years.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -8 ½
Total: 49 ½


Game Overview


The Blue Bombers have picked-up where they left off losing six of its last seven games SU in 2015. They were shutout in the first half against Montreal in a game that stayed well UNDER the closing 48 ½-point total line. Drew Willy did throw for 303 yards and a score and Andrew Harris added 80 yards rushing the ball on 13 carries, but Winnipeg could only find the end zone once in this game.


Calgary will look to bounce back after getting stunned as a road favorite. It was in position to tie that game in the fourth quarter, but veteran kicker Rene Paredes missed a field goal from 31 yards out. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell ended the day with 233 yards passing and the Stampeders were only able to add 50 yards on the ground.


Betting Trends


Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in the last five meetings but it has a 3-1-1 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four meetings in Calgary and it has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings overall.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 1
June 26, 2016


League Betting Notes


-- Underdogs went 4-0 SU in Week 1


-- Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 1


-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 1


-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 1


-- The 'over/under' went 2-2 in Week 1






Team Betting Notes

-- Ottawa (1-0) opened with a high-scoring 45-37 win at Edmonton (0-1) in a Grey Cup rematch. A big part of the RedBlacks' success last season was their ability on the road, going 4-1 SU in their final five games on the road last season, while covering five of their past six away from home.


-- It was a rare loss at home for the Eskimos. The last time the Esks suffered a home loss was Aug. 21, 2015 against the Tiger-Cats. The finished the 2015 campaign with six straight victories at home, including the postseason, going 4-2 ATS during the span. They'll try again next week when Saskatchewan (0-0) comes to town for their first game of the season.


-- Winnipeg (0-1) was tripped up at home against Montreal (1-0). The Blue Bombers also lost their opener last season against the Tigers-Cats, but rebounded to win their next two on their home field.


-- The Alouettes didn't win on the road last season until Aug. 20 against the Lions, so this was a great start for Montreal. They were just 3-6 SU on the road in 2016, but a respectable 5-4 ATS.

-- Speaking of Hamilton (1-0), they hit the QEW and went up to Toronto (0-1) and humbled the Argonauts by a 42-20 count for an easy road win and cover, cashing +190 on the moneyline. The Ti-Cats were a thorn in the side of many last season, especially Toronto. They went 3-0 SU/ATS in the regular season, and they also won and covered against the Argos in the division semifinals. In fact, Hamilton is 6-0 ATS against Toronto dating back to Sept. 1, 2014.


-- The BC Lions (1-0) were the only CFL team to hold serve at home, edging Calgary (1-0) in a 20-18 defensive slog. It must've been a good feeling for the Lions, as they went 0-3 SU/ATS against the Stampeders last season, including a loss in the division semifinals. The wins snapped a 5-0 SU/ATS run for the Stamps against the Lions dating back to Aug. 1, 2014.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
June 27, 2016




A new season of CFL football got off to an exciting start on the field and anyone betting underdogs got off to a profitable start against the books with a perfect 4-0 record both straight-up and against the spread.


Hamilton kicked things off last Thursday with a 42-20 pounding of Toronto as a 3 ½-point road underdog. Montreal kept things going on Friday with a tight 22-14 victory on the road against Winnipeg as 2 ½-point dogs.


Saturday’s double-header started with Ottawa stunning Edmonton 45-37 in overtime as 6 ½-point underdogs on the road and British Columbia prevailed against Calgary in a 20-18 win as a three-point underdog at home.


Thursday, June 30


Ottawa RedBlacks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 54

Game Overview


Ottawa successfully avenged last season’s loss to Edmonton in the Grey Cup title game with Saturday’s win, but it came at a price with quarterback Henry Burris leaving that game in the third quarter with a hand injury. He is currently listed as questionable for Thursday night and head coach Rick Campbell has already gone on record stating that he expects Trevor Harris to get the start.


Montreal has to be happy with its fast start after posting just one straight-up win in the last seven games of the 2015 regular season. Quarterback Kevin Glenn was impressive in his debut for the Alouettes with 332 yards passing and one touchdown throw while completing 30-of-42 passes. Duron Carter was his favorite target with eight catches for 96 yards.

Betting Trends


These two have met six times over the past two seasons and the RedBlacks are now a perfect 3-0 both SU in the last three meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last four games. The total has gone OVER in the last two contests.


Toronto Argonauts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2 ½
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview


The Argonauts will try and win their first game of the year on the road after coming-up short at the brand new BMO Field on opening day. Ricky Ray got the start at quarterback for Toronto in Week 1 and while he ended the game with 282 yards passing and a pair of touchdown throws to Vidal Hazelton, he was pressured all game long and sacked five times. He also fumbled the ball once to go along with an interception.


This will be Saskatchewan’s season opener after last week’s bye. It will quickly try and erase the memory of last season’s three-win disaster with quarterback Darian Durant back at the helm after missing the majority of 2015 due to injury. The Roughriders were also a good team to go against last season with just five victories ATS in 18 games.


Betting Trends


Toronto has gone 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 road games against the Roughriders and the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings between the two. The Argonauts won both meetings in 2015 SU.






Friday, July 1


British Columbia Lions (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Total: 51


Game Overview


The Lions have to be happy with their fast start after getting hammered by Calgary 35-9 as nine-point road underdogs in last season’s CFL playoffs. Chris Rainy was the hero this time around with two touchdowns including the go-ahead score on a 73-yard punt return for a touchdown. Jonathan Jennings got the start at quarterback and threw for 248 yards while completing 24-of-42 attempts.


Hamilton looked pretty sharp in its season opener behind Jeremiah Masoli passing the ball and Andrew Fantuz catching it. These two hooked-up seven times for 99 yards and a score. Masoli ended the game with 318 yards passing and three touchdown throws while completing 27 of his 37 passing attempts. CJ Gable added 48 yards on the ground on 11 carries.

Betting Trends


The home team in this inter-division matchup has won the last six meetings SU and the total has gone OVER in five of those six games. They have split the season series 3-3 ATS over the past three years.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -8 ½
Total: 49 ½


Game Overview


The Blue Bombers have picked-up where they left off losing six of its last seven games SU in 2015. They were shutout in the first half against Montreal in a game that stayed well UNDER the closing 48 ½-point total line. Drew Willy did throw for 303 yards and a score and Andrew Harris added 80 yards rushing the ball on 13 carries, but Winnipeg could only find the end zone once in this game.


Calgary will look to bounce back after getting stunned as a road favorite. It was in position to tie that game in the fourth quarter, but veteran kicker Rene Paredes missed a field goal from 31 yards out. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell ended the day with 233 yards passing and the Stampeders were only able to add 50 yards on the ground.


Betting Trends


Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in the last five meetings but it has a 3-1-1 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four meetings in Calgary and it has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings overall.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel


Week 2




Thursday, June 30


Ottawa @ Montreal


Game 301-302
June 30, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
114.585
Montreal
117.069
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 2 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 1
54
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+1); Over


Toronto @ Saskatchewan


Game 303-304
June 30, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
113.687
Saskatchewan
111.069
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+4); Under




Friday, July 1


BC Lions @ Hamilton


Game 305-306
July 1, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
111.132
Hamilton
119.513
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 8 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 6
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-6); Under


Winnipeg @ Calgary


Game 307-308
July 1, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
107.615
Calgary
114.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 7
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10
49
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+10); Over








CFL
Long Sheet


Week 2


Thursday, June 30


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OTTAWA (14 - 6) at MONTREAL (6 - 12) - 6/30/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-3 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (9 - 10) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 15) - 6/30/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, July 1


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 12) at HAMILTON (11 - 9) - 7/1/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WINNIPEG (5 - 13) at CALGARY (15 - 5) - 7/1/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 2


Not a lot to go on early in the CFL season, but we'll do what we can..........


Week 2 CFL games
Ottawa (1-0) @ Montreal (1-0)-- Ottawa pulled upset in OT at Edmonton last week, after tying game with 0:01 left; RedBlacks had 590-442 edge in yardage, overcoming -2 turnover ratio. Montreal won its opener at Winnipeg, leading 12-0 at half in 22-14 win. RedBlacks swept Montreal LY, winning by 3-4-22 points after going 0-3 vs Alouettes year before- they split two visits here. Four of six series games stayed under; under is 7-2 in Alouettes' last nine home games.


Toronto (0-1) @ Saskatchewan (0-0)-- Argonauts opened their new stadium last week with 42-20 loss to Hamilton; they were down 18-6 at half in game where they were outgained 379-296. Toronto won four of last five games with Saskatchewan, winning LY's games 42-40/30-26. Roughriders had bye LW; they started 0-9 LY, wound up 3-15, with two three wins vs Alouettes. Argonauts won three of last four visits to Regina. Six of last seven series games went over total.


British Columbia (1-0) @ Hamilton (1-0)-- Both teams opened with upset wins; Lions beat Calgary at home, kicking winning FG with 3:43 left. TiCats won easily at Toronto, leading 18-6 at half-- they've lost last three visits to Hamilton by 8-2-30 points. Home side won last six series games, with five of those six games going over the total. Last year's meetings were one-sided; Hamilton won 52-22 at home in first meeting, then lost 40-13 in Vancouver in rematch.


Winnipeg (0-1) @ Calgary (0-1)-- Stampeders are 13-1 in last fourteen games vs Winnipeg, sweeping the Bombers LY, by 1-28-3 points. Winnipeg lost its last 12 visits to Calgary, going 3-2-2 vs spread in last seven. Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Stamps were 9-1 at home LY, covering five of last six. Winnipeg got upset at home by Montreal LW, its 11th loss in last 13 games, dating back to LY- they lost seven of last eight road games (3-5 vs spread).








CFL


Week 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, June 30


7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games at home


10:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Saskatchewan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto


Friday, July 1


7:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
British Columbia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing at home against British Columbia


10:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Winnipeg is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games

 

[CNOTES]

WLT PCT UNITS RANK


ATS Picks 1-3-0 25.00% -1150


O/U Picks 3-1-0 75.00% +950


THURSDAY, JUNE 30


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


OTT at MTL 07:00 PM

OTT -1.0


U 53.5




TOR at SSK 10:00 PM


TOR +4.0


O 51.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


-- Indians won their 13th straight game last night; last time the Tribe won 13 games in a row, the Rochester Royals (now Sacramento Kings) were NBA champions.


-- Clayton Kershaw goes on the DL with a bad back. Dodgers acquired Bud Norris from Atlanta for two low-level minor league relief pitchers. Dodgers are desperate for starting pitching.


-- Marlins acquired closer Fernando Rodney from San Diego.


-- Giants didn't use a DH in Oakland last night; they let Madison Bumgarner hit.


-- Bronx pushed CC Sabathia's next start back to Monday; they don't want him to hit in San Diego this weekend and risk having him run the bases and get hurt.


-- Happy Canada Day to all of our friends north of the border.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Looking at SEC football teams.....


Alabama-- 39-5 SU in last 44 conference games, 27-17 vs spread. +63 in turnovers last nine years, but allowed 40+ points in three of last four bowl/playoff games- they are 3-2 in last five bowl/playoff games.


Arkansas-- Won last three bowl games, all by 13+ points; are +14 in turnovers last two years, after being -28 the two years before that. Razorbacks are 18-7-1 vs spread last two years, 11-4-1 in conference play.


Auburn-- Have eight new assistant coaches this year, after going 15-11 last two years. Scored 31+ points in last four bowls, but split those games. 7-19 vs spread in last 26 games, 3-9 in last 12 tries as a home favorite.


Florida-- Went 10-4 in McIlwain's first year, after going 29-23 under Muchamp, who is now the coach at South Carolina. Gators are 6-14 as home favorites since 2012; they covered six of last eight as a road favorite. Have two transfer QBs battling for #1 job; from Oregon State, Purdue-- one is Jack Del Rio's son.


Georgia-- Why did they fire Mark Richt? Dawgs are 50-17 last five years, have a +41 turnover ratio last five years. Since '13, are 9-17 vs spread coming off a win. Special teams coach in new regime is Shane Beamer, who spent last fuve years working for his father at Virginia Tech.


Kentucky-- Last bowl was 2010, last bowl win in '08. Wildcats are 14-6 as favorites at home since '10, but are 1-9-2 in last 12 tries as a home underdog. Cats are 7-18 as a road dog since 2010-- last time they were favored on the road was five years ago.


LSU-- In 2011-12, Tigers were +36 in TOs, went 23-4. Last three years, Tigers have a +10 TO ratio, are 27-11 and Les Miles barely kept his job. Last two years, LSU QBs completed 50%/53.6% of their passes- that has to go up. Tigers are 4-11 against the spread in true road games the last four years.


Ole Miss-- Favorites covered their last five bowl games; Rebels won five of them, are 13-7-1 as home favorites under Freeze, 11-4 as underdogs. Ole Miss lost four of its top six tacklers from LY. Kelly threw for 4,042 yards, 31 TDs last year.


Mississippi State-- Six straight winning seasons, are 19-7 last two years. Mullen is 15-8-1 vs spread in SEC last three years, 6-2 as road underdog, 18-10 in last 28 games as a home favorite. Six straight winning years in Starkville is no small feat.


Missouri-- Will miss underrated coach Pinkel. Won last three bowl games, all by 10+ points, scoring 35 ppg. Tigers are +24 in turnovers last three years. Mizzou is 16-6 vs spread off a loss, but 2-6 in last eight games as a home underdog.


South Carolina-- Spurrier is tough act to follow, especially with only nine starters back. Gamecocks are 9-15 vs spread in SEC last three years- they're 1-5-1 in their last seven games as a road favorite. Won last four bowls, were underdog in last two.


Tennessee-- Vols are 3-9 vs spread in last dozen games where spread was 4 or less points-- Jones isn't a good game manager, but he can recruit- they won 45-28/45-6 in last two bowls. Hae senior QB who needs to improve on 59.3% completion % from last year-- with 22 starts under his belt, Dobbs should be better than he is. .


Texas A&M-- Were minus in turnovers six of last seven years (-33 total), are 6-12 vs spread as home favorite last three years (6-17-1 vs spread in SEC games), covered just four of last 13 as a dog. Aggies have won four of their last five bowl games.


Vanderbilt-- 7-17 since James Franklin left, with -24 turnover ratio. Commodores are 10-5 as home underdog since '11, 11-6 as road dogs since '12, 22-13 overall in last 35 games when getting points. Won three of last four bowls, with average total of 64 in last three-- their last bowl was in 2013, Franklin's final year as coach.

 

[CNOTES]

Five truly Canadian bets to make this Canada Day


This July 1, celebrate Canada Day by wagering a few Loonies and Toonies on these All-Canadian bets.


I’ve had possibly the most Canadian week ever leading into the July 1 holiday, better known as “Canada Day”.


After subduing the football shakes with a couple bets on Week 1 of the CFL season (underdogs are now a perfect 8-0 ATS the last two opening weeks), I proceeded to injure my ankle playing Ultimate Frisbee and needed a trip to the hospital - a trip that didn’t cost me jack squat since we have kick-ass health care in Canada.


Once my foot felt better, I spent an evening mowing my lawn. And, after finishing up and briefly heading inside to grab an ice-cold Moosehead, I returned to my freshly-coiffed backyard to find a big-ass wild turkey confidently strutting about like Mike Reno, the lead singer for “Loverboy”.


My first instinct, since I’m a red-blooded Canuck, was to find out if it was turkey hunting season. It is not. And my second instinct, since I’m a red-blood Canuck, was to politely ask the turkey to leave – for which I’d immediately apologize for. Sorry.


But my third instinct, and one that speaks to the sports bettor in all of us, was to get that turkey something to eat. I grabbed whatever I thought a turkey would care to snack on and threw it at the big dumb bird. If I feed this turkey all summer long and keep him coming back for more, by the time the fall rolls around (AKA turkey season), he’ll be fatter than a garbage bag full of Tim Horton’s day-olds.


You see: risk a little to get a lot. That’s a gambler’s Holy Grail.


So, after being served a big slice of Canadiana this week, it only seems fitting to return the favor to my fellow sports bettors in the Great White North, and even those of you outside our vast borders. With Canada Day kicking off the weekend Friday, here are my favorite Canadian inspired bets for July 1:


Toronto Blue Jays


When the Red Sox are winning, Boston is buzzing. When the Cubs are cruising, Chicago is jumping. But when the Blue Jays are rolling, the entire nation is losing their frickin’ minds.


Take last season’s incredible second-half run and postseason appearance by Toronto. Jose Bautista’s infamous bat flip against the Rangers actually made Canadian sports fans forget about hockey for a few minutes. If you had immediately lobbied for the silhouette of Bautista barbarically discarding his bat to replace the maple leaf in the middle of the Canadian flag, it would have passed with a unanimous vote.


This Canada Day, the Jays are home to the red-hot Cleveland Indians. Toronto will be sporting their special red attire for the nation’s birthday, giving the nod to Marcus Stroman for the matinee start. The Blue Jays, who are currently -118 favorites, have won the last three July 1 outings and have outscored opponents 23-6 in those games.

CFL


It just doesn’t feel like Canada Day without some three-down football, am I right? It's like seeing Tom Cochrane without a jean jacket on. Last year, July 1 was void of any CFL action but the schedule makers have more than made up for that with a “double double” of Canadian pigskin Friday.




The BC Lions are visiting the Hamilton Ti-Cats, moving from touchdown dogs to 5.5-point pups in the early game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are on the road facing the Calgary Stampeders later in the day, with Calgary moving from -8.5 to -10.5 – a rare double-digit CFL favorite.


Parity is the name of the game in the Canadian Football League. Last season, there were only five double-digit spreads all year, with those big faves going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The Stamps were responsible for two of those double-digit covers.

Wimbledon tennis


Both Canadian tennis stars, Milos Raonic on the men’s side and Eugenie Bouchard on the women’s, have advanced to the third round at the All England Club.


Bouchard, seeded 16th, faces 19th-seed Dominika Cibulkova next, with oddsmakers setting Genie as a +133 underdog despite defeating Cibulkova in both of their career meetings, including earlier this year at the Hobart Open. You can be sure that Covers' own Andrew “Taco” Caley will have a ticket on Bouchard, to go with his creepy shrine to Canada’s resident tennis goddess.


Raonic, who has yet to drop a set at Wimbledon, takes on American Jack Sock in the third round. Books have the Thornhill, Ontario native priced at -720 to advance. If swallowing that amount of juice feels like chugging a warm can of Labatt Maximum Ice (or even an ice-cold Maximum Ice... yuck), then perhaps you can cool down the vig by taking Milos at -103 to win in three straight sets.


MLS soccer


Is the quality of the Euro Cup just too good for you to wager on? Do you need a watered-down version of the beautiful game in which you know none of the players, nor did you realize half of the teams in the league even existed? Major League Soccer is begging you to bet on it. No, really. It is. On both knees.


There are three Canadian clubs in the MLS: Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver. And according to our standings, none of them are really great – and none of them actually play on the Canada Day holiday.


However, Montreal hosts New England Saturday, as a +117 favorite in the three-way betting, and Toronto takes on visiting Seattle as a -139 three-way fave to win. Say what you want about the quality of the play, but I’ve heard it’s quite the party in the stands for a MLS game. Throw a long-weekend rager in the middle of those wagers, and I’m sold!


NHL futures


Hockey fans from East to West were extremely pissed off Wednesday when two massive trades by Canadian NHL clubs left puck faithful scratching their heads in Montreal and Edmonton. You would have thought they were outlawing the use of Muskoka chairs at the end of lake-view docks with the way Canadians (and Canadiens) were losing their shit.


Montreal dealt face of the franchise P.K. Subban to Nashville for fellow blueliner Shea Weber, while Edmonton packed up leading scorer Taylor Hall and sent him to New Jersey for defenseman Adam Larsson.


I have friends in both camps and let me tell you, Facebook was not a pretty place once those guys vented their frustrations. If anything fellas, you can get the Habs and Oilers at juicy odds to win the Stanley Cup next year with Montreal going off at +2,500 and Edmonton at +5,500.